Profit Simulator
Use Stratium's profit simulator to estimate returns — adjust capital and see projected P&L, ROI, and growth based on real historical trade data.
TL;DR: Stratium's profit simulator uses real historical trade data from the top 10 strategies over the past 90 days. Set your starting capital (0.1–20 SOL), and instantly see projected final balance, ROI, annualized return, expected trade count, and a day-by-day P&L chart. No account required.
What is Stratium's profit simulator?
The Profit Simulator estimates what your returns could have looked like based on actual historical performance data from Stratium's top 10 most profitable strategies over the past 90 days. The simulation uses real executed trade data — not theoretical models, not backtests on hypothetical conditions.
Access it on the Stratium homepage without creating an account. Adjust your starting capital and instantly see projected results recalculate in real time.
How do I use the profit simulator?
Step 1: Set your starting capital
Use the slider to set how much SOL you would start with:
- Range: 0.1 SOL to 20 SOL
- The USD equivalent is shown next to the SOL amount based on current price
- Results recalculate automatically as you adjust the slider
Guidance notes:
- Below 1 SOL: Transaction fees may meaningfully reduce net profits — the simulator displays a warning
- Above 20 SOL: For larger capital amounts, contact the team for custom strategy configurations
Step 2: Review your projected results
| Metric | What It Shows |
|---|---|
| Starting Capital | Your chosen SOL amount |
| Final Balance | Estimated portfolio value after 90 days |
| Profit | Net SOL gained |
| ROI (90 days) | Percentage return over the simulation period |
| Annualized ROI | Projected yearly return extrapolated from the 90-day result |
| Expected Trades | Number of trades the top 10 strategies would have executed |
The panel also shows an annual projection with estimated yearly profit in USD, based on the 90-day performance extrapolated to 365 days.
Step 3: Analyze the P&L chart
Below the results, a cumulative P&L chart visualizes the profit and loss progression day by day:
- X-axis — Days over the 90-day simulation period
- Y-axis — Cumulative profit/loss in SOL
- Interactive — Click any point to see the exact date and cumulative P&L value
- Green area — Periods of positive cumulative P&L
- Red area — Periods of negative cumulative P&L (drawdown periods)
The chart's shape tells you more than the final number: a smooth upward slope with small recoverable drawdowns indicates a more reliable strategy than a flat line followed by a sudden spike.
Step 4: Browse the trade history
The full trade history table shows every trade that would have been executed during the simulation:
| Column | What It Shows |
|---|---|
| Token | Which token was traded |
| Action | BUY or SELL |
| Amount | SOL value of the trade |
| P&L | Profit or loss for completed round-trip trades |
| Cumulative P&L | Running total showing how profit accumulated |
Aggregate stats appear at the top: total trades, win rate, and total P&L. Use pagination to browse the full history.
How does Stratium calculate the simulation results?
The simulation uses real historical trade data, not theoretical models:
- Data source — Actual trades executed by the top 10 most profitable Stratium strategies over the past 90 days, all verifiable on Solscan
- Capital scaling — Your chosen starting capital is scaled proportionally against the historical trade sizes using the same scaling factor logic as live trading
- Diversification — The simulation aggregates performance across all top 10 strategies, reflecting the diversified exposure real users get
- Day-by-day calculation — P&L is computed trade by trade in chronological order, reflecting realistic portfolio progression including compounding
The February 2026 period covered in our performance report shows 10 of 12 strategies profitable with a 59% median win rate — these are the verified on-chain numbers the simulator draws from.
Are simulated results guaranteed?
No. The simulator shows what historically happened, not what will happen in the future.
Key limitations to understand:
- Real execution may differ — Your actual results depend on when you join, current market conditions, token liquidity at the time of execution, and real-time trade timing
- Slippage and fees — Real trades incur Solana transaction fees (~$0.001 per trade) and potential slippage that may not be fully captured in the simulation
- Market conditions change — A strategy that performed well over the past 90 days may behave differently in different volatility or liquidity conditions
- Individual results vary — Your portfolio composition will differ based on when you join and your specific strategy assignments
Use the simulator to understand the magnitude of potential returns and the strategy's historical volatility — not as a precise prediction.
How should I interpret my simulation results?
What a strong simulation looks like
- Smooth upward P&L curve with small, quickly-recovered drawdowns
- Win rate above 55% combined with a profit factor above 1.0
- Consistent daily P&L — most days are roughly similar; the profit is not concentrated in 1–2 lucky days
Warning signs in a simulation
- Sharp deep drawdowns that take many days to recover — indicates high risk periods
- Very few trades with large individual P&L swings — small sample size, results may not repeat
- Most profit from a single trading day — suggests luck rather than systematic strategy performance
How to use the simulator to calibrate your deposit
- Set your intended starting capital and note the projected ROI and max drawdown from the chart
- If the drawdowns shown feel uncomfortable at that capital level, consider starting with a smaller amount
- Use the Expected Trades count to understand trading frequency — more trades means faster compounding but also more exposure
- Compare the annualized ROI to the risk level shown in the chart — high ROI with deep drawdowns suggests the Aggressive strategy tier is powering most of the return
Learn more
- Browsing Strategy Results — Explore individual strategy performance in detail, including the strategies that power this simulator
- Live Trade Feed — Watch Stratium execute trades in real time before you decide to deposit
- Risk Management — Understand how Stratium controls trading risk and how to configure your own limits