Features
4 min read

Profit Simulator

Use Stratium's profit simulator to estimate returns — adjust capital and see projected P&L, ROI, and growth.

Overview

The Profit Simulator on the Stratium homepage lets you estimate what your returns could have looked like based on actual historical performance from the top 10 most profitable strategies over the past 90 days. Adjust your starting capital and instantly see projected results.

Profit simulator with capital slider, projected results, and P&L chart

How to Use the Simulator

Step 1: Set Your Starting Capital

Use the slider to set how much SOL you would start with:

  • Range: 0.1 SOL to 20 SOL
  • USD equivalent is shown next to the SOL amount
  • The simulator recalculates automatically as you adjust the slider

Guidance notes:

  • Below 1 SOL: Transaction fees may reduce your net profits — the simulator will display a warning
  • 20 SOL and above: For larger amounts, contact the team for custom strategy configurations

Step 2: Review Your Results

Once you set your capital, the simulator calculates and displays:

Projected Results Panel

Metric What It Shows
Starting Capital Your chosen SOL amount
Final Balance Estimated portfolio value after 90 days
Profit Net SOL gained
ROI (90 days) Percentage return over the simulation period
Annualized ROI Projected yearly return based on the 90-day result
Expected Trades Number of trades the strategies would have executed

The panel also shows an annual projection with estimated yearly profit in USD, calculated from the 90-day performance.

Step 3: Analyze the P&L Chart

Below the results, a Cumulative P&L Chart visualizes the profit and loss progression over the 90-day period:

  • X-axis — Days over the simulation period
  • Y-axis — Cumulative profit/loss in SOL
  • Interactive — Click on any point to see the exact date and P&L value
  • Green area — Periods of positive cumulative P&L
  • Red area — Periods of negative cumulative P&L (if any)

This chart helps you understand the growth trajectory — whether returns are steady or volatile.

Step 4: Browse the Trade History

The full trade history table shows every trade that would have been executed during the simulation:

  • Token — Which token was traded
  • Action — BUY or SELL
  • Amount — SOL value of the trade
  • P&L — Profit or loss for each completed round-trip trade
  • Cumulative P&L — Running total showing how profit accumulated

Use the pagination to browse through all trades. The table also shows aggregate stats at the top: total trades, win rate, and total P&L.

How the Simulation Works

The simulator uses real historical data, not theoretical models:

  1. Data Source — Actual trades executed by the top 10 most profitable strategies over the past 90 days
  2. Capital Scaling — Your chosen starting capital is scaled proportionally against the historical trade sizes
  3. All Strategies Combined — The simulation aggregates performance across all top strategies, giving you a diversified view
  4. Daily Recalculation — P&L is computed day by day, reflecting realistic portfolio progression

Important Disclaimers

Past performance does not guarantee future results. The simulator shows what historically happened, not what will happen in the future.

Key points to keep in mind:

  • Real execution may differ — Your actual results depend on when you start, market conditions, token liquidity, and trade timing
  • Slippage and fees — Real trades incur transaction fees and potential slippage that may not be fully captured in the simulation
  • Market conditions change — A strategy that performed well over the past 90 days may behave differently in different market conditions
  • Individual results vary — Your portfolio composition will differ based on when you join and your specific strategy assignments

Interpreting the Results

What a Good Simulation Looks Like

  • Steady upward P&L curve with small, recoverable drawdowns
  • High win rate (above 55%) combined with a profit factor above 1.0
  • Consistent daily P&L rather than a few massive wins carrying all the profit

Red Flags to Watch For

  • Sharp drawdowns followed by slow recovery — indicates high risk
  • Few trades with large individual P&L swings — may not be repeatable
  • Most profit from a single day — suggests luck rather than systematic performance

Using the Simulator to Set Expectations

The simulator is best used to:

  1. Understand the magnitude of potential returns at your capital level
  2. See the number of trades you can expect over a 90-day period
  3. Gauge volatility by looking at the chart's ups and downs
  4. Compare to your risk tolerance — if the drawdowns shown feel uncomfortable, consider starting with a smaller amount

Learn More

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