Pump.fun Graduation Rate: Only 0.63% of Tokens Survive
Pump.fun graduation rate: 0.63% — only 4,338 of 655,770 tokens survived. The exact on-chain signals that predict which tokens make it.
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TL;DR
The pump.fun graduation rate is 0.63%. In one month, 655,770 tokens were launched — 651,432 failed. New peer-reviewed research from Italian universities identifies the four on-chain signals that predict, in real time during a token's launch, whether it belongs to the surviving 0.63% or the failing 99.37%. The strongest predictor has nothing to do with hype, community size, or who's shilling it.
Florian
Founder & Head of Quant — Stratium
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Written by
Florian
Founder & Head of Quant — Stratium
Florian is the founder and Head of Quant at Stratium. With 5+ years of experience in quantitative finance and algorithmic trading, he built the copy trading engine from the ground up on Solana — designing the strategy curation framework, FIFO PnL engine, position sizing models, and on-chain execution infrastructure. He writes about quantitative trading, Solana DeFi, and the data behind copy trading performance.